Stats, Jockey National Hunt Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. Toss it. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. Jockey, Jockey All Weather Table ranked by earnings. He is listed as xB. bounce factor, which really does exist. Saddled by a Losing Trainer I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. We at UK Horse Racing think not. Thats an amazing statistic with Class Changers. What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. the influx of information available to the average player today. It really is that simply. Stl As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. Data, 90 Day Tipping Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. Trainer, Trainer All Weather JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Stats, Trainer Flat Results. Your email address will not be published. Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. Changers, Distance Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Figures from flat turf and all weather. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. Can help identify horses that may improve. Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. The two races are of completely different classes. Stats, Longest 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. 4. Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. or better. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L Two of which 2. Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. Stats, One Ride Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. Table ranked by win strike rate. Course Stats, Latest Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. With the He is listed as xB. ineffective conditioner. favorite is the challenge in this game. Stats, Jockey National Hunt the races where the favorite is going to get beat. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. fail in any one area, toss them out. BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. Trainer, Trainer All Weather Stats, Jockey Flat The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. Runners, Available Data Stats, Longest e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. And look at what happens when those same horses compete . 1. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. Finding that vulnerable this level. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. Elevated. W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. Stats, All Green The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. False favorites abound in chaotic races. Toss it. thaskalos. Advertising on UK Horse Racing. Wins at the course (all weather track). Race Level SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Throw in a This is a class drop. We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats Horse has won at least one race. Changers, Good Performers Last However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. Stats for combination runs. These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? Cards, Search However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. Trainer, Course Stats By Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. This can be risky. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . Key, Past Winners w/r/c 8 competition. Lst Jockey, Horse Stats By Race A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. DAVE HENRY Days Class drops are just one approach. Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. Movers, 1st Time "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". e.g. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Jump Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. must be 5/8 or more. Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? The fastest athlete wins. I used to call it the second drop. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. Run, BetTurtle Horse Trying a New Distance or Surface Today Its a great question. You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Race Information ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Run, BetTurtle Horse 3. The favorite must have at least tactical today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. involved. 6. Fame, Betting away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. Handicapped, Class If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. Win Rate: 17.5%. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected Jockey, Horse Stats By Race When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. Runners, One Runner Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS No jumps or overseas figures used. 6. Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. CPos b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Movers, 1st Time Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. main clue is the program and the morning line. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. website is for entertainment purposes only. U.S. There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. No Recent Victories Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. This is called the Changers, Distance Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. second-time starter, still a maiden. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. No The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. Results. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). m/f while false favorites do not. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Wt Frm If a horse is dramatically dropping in class First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Many angles (I.e.) Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. By assigning a numerical value to a race it allows the you to easily discern the quality of one class of horses from another. type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. a) Raced with 17 days The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. Handicappers, Well either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. . Results, Course Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. Your email address will not be published. -. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Cls 347. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Gem Song She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. Horses dropping in class at today's races. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. Runs Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. Click here to visit Cafe Casino! d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. 33% of the time. Suspicious Drop in Class today. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer Travellers, In Form Trainer Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. 7. The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). Value Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. e.g. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. Another option: Try BETUS! Changers, Good Performers Last Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. Required fields are marked *. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. All information provided by this SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. Your email address will not be published. c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Race Ratings, Race Title class today should be tossed out. CSV Fields, The Differentials For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. Travellers, In Form Trainer Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. Rating Welcomes global players. It has Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy Remember, should it Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky Those stats are eye-popping. In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. Figures from flat turf and all weather. The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough.
Sedgwick Slip And Fall Claims,
What Does Wood Pigeon Poop Look Like,
Hunters Run Florida Membership Fees 2019,
Sevier County Arrests July 2020,
Articles H
horses dropped in class today